Shifting Our Lenses to Behavioral Finance Paradigm: CEO Inopportune Optimism and Financial, Non-Financial Communications

Shifting Our Lenses to Behavioral Finance Paradigm: CEO Inopportune Optimism and Financial, Non-Financial Communications

Sibel Dinç Aydemir
DOI: 10.4018/978-1-5225-8266-3.ch009
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Abstract

Recent crisis periods have shown how corporate communication could contribute to organizational performance regarding financial outcomes, reputation concern, etc. The efforts to reduce information asymmetry, deal with agency problems, improve stakeholder engagement have brought it to the fore. Past research on reporting mechanisms has overly focused on its normative structure and manifested ethical or problematic issues. Some research has argued credibility of both reporters and assurance providers of this information. Although some limited research on management control over reporting mechanisms and on some weaknesses of assurance providers' verification statements, this research doesn't explain enough why this manipulative control occurs. Shifting our lenses to behavioral finance paradigm, it's understood that judgmental decision making seems to be exposed to diverse systematical biases and fallacies. Amidst them, inopportune optimism, alias overconfidence, stands for one of the most serious biases.
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Introduction

“…The illusion that we understand the past fosters overconfidence in our ability to predict the future…” (Kahneman, 2015)

Companies utterly attempt to survive in a global cutthroat competition environment. And, information has actually made a world of difference in early 2000s since accounting/auditing scandals, market collapses have amplified significance of all relevant information, let alone financial information. Unfortunately, companies have discerned that they couldn’t ensure their survival in this environment through focusing merely on financial outcomes. Through a battery of ethical, disciplinary, institutional arrangements aimed for reconstructing confidence in financial reporting (FR) functions and toward the goal of sustainable development, companies have to both disclose financial/non-financial data in concordance with global standards and also to ensure this information’s credibility for their stakeholders. At the same time, the efforts to reduce information asymmetry through signaling theory, and to improve stakeholder relations have conspicuously brought corporate communication to the fore. Considering signaling theory, information disclosed by companies doesn’t seem to decrease definitely. Then, striving to ensure accuracy and credibility of this immense information seems a vital task and this requires first to know what’s actually going on in corporate communications.

Past research on financial reporting (FR) and sustainability reporting (SR) has overwhelmingly put emphasis on its normative structure and manifested ethical or problematic issues. Or, research has widely argued credibility of both reporters and assurance providers of this information. Although limited research referring to management control over these reports and to some weaknesses of assurance providers’ statements, this research body doesn’t explain enough why this control or weaknesses occur. Additionally, the research arguing personal attributes of these actors (e.g., management and responsible reporting staff, assurance providers) is interestingly rare. By the virtue of signaling theory, it is well known that companies as more informed parties could convey this valuable information to stakeholders as less informed parties (Karaman et al., 2020) in order to ameliorate information asymmetry. This theory also discusses that firms could disclose favorable information more in order to communicate positive firm attributes to outside users (Connelly et al., 2011). According to Stiglitz (2000), presence of asymmetry especially gets crucial for two types of information: Information about quality, information about intent. Yet, the latter is not as easy as the former to be detected since this task necessitates to invoke unobservable constituents or behavioral processes. Further, upper echelons approach (Hambrick & Mason, 1984; Hambrick, 2016) which purports that organizational decisions reflect views and tone of top management really helps researchers and practitioners in understanding corporate decisions. However, this approach overly focuses on observed features of top management, ignoring cognitive aspects of upper echelons as mentioned by themselves. Fortunately, with the advent of prospect theory (Kahneman & Tversky, 1979), relatively ignored psychological or unobserved features have enabled actual behavior, let alone financial behavior, to be completely understood. First, people aren’t rational. Due to bounded rationality (Simon, 1955), people don’t behave rationally in every time. They could make computational errors, evaluate stochastic probabilities improperly. They even don’t have the information enough regarding decision alternatives. Moreover, deviations from rational behavior are systematic, not random. Due to some biases, they systematically behave irrationally.

Key Terms in this Chapter

Non-Financial Communication: It is a form of noncompulsory yet crucial corporate communication through which company discloses to all stakeholders (internal-external or present-future investors or pressure groups) for the company’s corporate strategies and practices about sustainable development.

Overconfidence: Overconfidence bias is recognized as a cognitive limitation in psychology literature and it exists when people are greatly optimistic in their initial assessment of a situation and hence are not good at taking the new additional information into their consideration due to their starting overconfident thinking.

Upper Echelon Theory: It is the idea that organizational strategies and decisions are greatly shaped by top executives’ personal background since top executives assess their organizational situations through their own heavily individualized lenses.

Behavioral Finance Paradigm: It is a paradigm that gives a delineation of actual choice behavior under the assumptions that people are not rational, that sum of deviations from rational behavior doesn’t sum up to zero and that subjective probabilities rather than stochastic probabilities determine decision weights.

Corporate Communication: This concept refers to a tool for creating a favorable basis for all stakeholder groups regarding corporation and this tool presents effectively harmonized forms which are fair, credible, trustworthy and wrapped with international standards and regulations. It consists of both internal and also external communication.

Financial Communication: It is a form of mandatory corporate communication through which represents fair presentation of company’s financial statements and which discloses the information to the stakeholders about the company’s economic functioning.

Prospect Theory: A choice theory in which value function is determined by gains, losses, and concave for gains and convex for losses, and in which stochastic probabilities are replaced by decision weights derived from subjective probabilities. This theory also suggests that individuals make inconsistent preferences when the same choice is presented through different framing due to the isolation effect.

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