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What is Probabilistic Design Analysis

Handbook of Research on Technology Project Management, Planning, and Operations
A design approach which attempts to assign numerical, quantitative probabilities to the likelihood of a failure occurring. This process uses the theories of statistical analysis and the variance of statistically quantifiable terms to calculate such numeric probabilities.
Published in Chapter:
Technical Risk Management
Pete Hylton (Indiana University Purdue University Indianapolis, USA)
DOI: 10.4018/978-1-60566-400-2.ch018
Abstract
In today’s highly competitive industrial environment, many high-tech businesses are using Technical Risk Management (TRM) in their engineering design programs as a means of improving the chances of success. TRM allows program mangers to pinpoint potential failure modes of a project early in the process, so that corrective actions can be taken in the most effective manner. TRM also allows managers to appropriately prioritize program tasks so as to achieve optimum use of available technical resources. TRM requires that a methodology of practices and processes be implemented on an ongoing basis. These processes identify, evaluate, mitigate, and manage technical risks affecting program success. This chapter will discuss implementation of the TRM process and provide a simple example to show how the process works.
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