Admissions Advisor: A Micro-Based Expert System Using Certainty Factors

Admissions Advisor: A Micro-Based Expert System Using Certainty Factors

Clive C. Sanford, Thomas Marshall
Copyright: © 1989 |Pages: 10
DOI: 10.4018/joeuc.1989040102
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Abstract

Decision makers are often confronted with the task of organizing and grouping available data in order to narrow the scope of a problem and make effective choices. This type of expertise often requires many years to perfect, and expert systems are an evolution of information technology that provide potential users the ability to draw from this expertise. In order for an expert system to accurately emulate an expert, there must be a disciplined approach to its design such that the data is organized into logically consistent sets that can interact and arrive at acceptable conclusions. This paper presents the theoretical background and design of the microcomputerbased expert system, Admissions Advisor, which emulates the decision-making process of an admissions director in regard to the acceptance or rejection of applicants to a master of business administration program. The validation of this system indicates it can arrive at conclusions that agree with 96% of the admissions director’s decisions.

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