Impact Analysis of Temperature Data on the Increase in the Count of Infected Cases of COVID 19

Impact Analysis of Temperature Data on the Increase in the Count of Infected Cases of COVID 19

Parag Verma, Ankur Dumka, Anuj Bhardwaj, Alaknanda Ashok, Mukesh Chandra Kestwal, Praveen Kumar
Copyright: © 2020 |Pages: 10
DOI: 10.4018/IJBAN.20201001.oa1
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Abstract

There was an outbreak of pneumonia in the month of December 2019 in Wuhan, China that spread with a rapid rate throughout the country and shook the world by spreading across the globe causing many deaths due. This disease is confirmed by means of molecular method as a novel coronavirus and was named as 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in its initial stage; however, on February 11, 2020, World Health Organization (WHO) renamed this disease COVID-19, which means corona virus disease. COVID-19 has impacted nearly the entire world, affecting more than 100 countries including India. The Coronavirus Study Group consisting of the International Committee on Taxonomy of Viruses renamed this virus, which was provisionally named 2019-nCoV, as severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2). This nomenclature is based on taxonomy, phylogeny, and established practice. As on March 2020, WHO has confirmed 692,575 number of cases of COVID-19 with 33,099 deaths, which are distributed across the globe: Western Pacific region with 103,775 confirmed cases with 3,649 deaths; European region with 392,757 number of confirmed cases with 23,962 deaths; South East Asia region with 4,084 confirmed cases with 158 deaths; Eastern Mediterranean region with 46,392 confirmed cases with 2,813 number of deaths; America region with 142,081 confirmed cases with 2,457 deaths; African region with 3,486 confirmed cases with 60 deaths. This paper focuses on these areas and regions and tries to find establish the relationship between numbers of deaths and number of cases with respect to the temperature. This paper takes the study of specific areas around the world and also the case study of India to study the effect of temperature on the rise of and death due to COVID-19 virus.
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1. Background

Our paper study is based on the background that there is reporting in the early stage of COVID-19 that the virus spread and rise varies with temperature (Kim et al., 2016; Chen et al., 2019). We had taken temperature parameters of top 15 affected countries and tries to find our result with temperature parameters and in order to set up relationship between temperature and the rise and spread of this virus (Lancet 2020; Corman et al., 20230). We collected the data of top 15 affected countries along with India for month of January, February and March as (Tables 1-2 and Figure 1).

Table 1.
Sample data with temperature and COVID 19 confirmed counts per week from January 23, 2020 to March 27, 2020
18.02.20CC742113132160120931001803
T(°C)10161413813111010281195825
11.02.20CC443863122160110828001703
T(°C)11181315719117136872521
04.02.20CC23707211112060216001403
T(°C)11818207119139371062120
28.01.20CC5509050404004000200
T(°C)61381298897116671219
23.01.20CC643010000001000000
T(°C)81561065328106642318
CountryChinaItalyUSSpainGermanyIranFranceSwitzerlandUnited KingdomKorea, SouthNetherlandsAustriaBelgiumCanadaNorwayIndia
S.N12345678910111213141516

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