Performing Counter-High Energy Laser Evasive Tactics

The Scenario

Blue Unmanned Aerial Systems (UASs) must travel through a region to conduct intelligence, surveillance, reconnaissance (ISR) missions. Blue suspects that Red may have one HEL in the region but does not know its location. To counter the possible HEL, a surge or swarm, of Blue UASs comes nearly simultaneously into the region. There are Blue actives and low-replacement-value decoys in the swarm. Suppose the Blue UASs present themselves in an equally accessible and indistinguishable way to the Red HEL. The entire surge/swarm, , is subject to attrition for a time in the Red-defended region. Time in region is presently taken as fixed, and all Blues are vulnerable during this time. Blue (B) chooses the number of Active Blues and decoys in the swarm so that the probability at least one Active Blue survives meets a specified threshold.