Using Learning Management System Activity Data to Predict Student Performance in Face-to-Face Courses

Using Learning Management System Activity Data to Predict Student Performance in Face-to-Face Courses

Najib Ali Mozahem
Copyright: © 2020 |Pages: 12
DOI: 10.4018/IJMBL.2020070102
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Abstract

Higher education institutes are increasingly turning their attention to web-based learning management systems. The purpose of this study is to investigate whether data collected from LMS can be used to predict student performance in classrooms that use LMS to supplement face-to-face teaching. Data was collected from eight courses spread across two semesters at a private university in Lebanon. Event history analysis was used to investigate whether the probability of logging in was related to the gender and grade of the students. Results indicate that students with higher grades login more frequently to the LMS, that females login more frequently than males, and that student login activity increases as the semester progresses. As a result, this study shows that login activity can be used to predict the academic performance of students. These findings suggest that educators in traditional face-to-face classes can benefit from educational data mining techniques that are applied to the data collected by learning management systems in order to monitor student performance.
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Literature Review

LMS provide both instructors and students with several advantages, such as efficient course delivery (Lonn & Teasley, 2009), access to rich online material (Coates et al., 2005), providing fast and easy communications with instructors as well as with other students (Stone & Zheng, 2014), and higher levels of functionality (Stantchev et al., 2014). More crucially for this paper, LMS are also a source of advantages that are specific to instructors. West, Waddoups, and Graham (2007) have reported that although instructors initially adopt LMS because they facilitate the management of the courses, they eventually begin using the more interactive features, thus shifting from passive to active learning. Morgan (2003) also reported that instructors began restructuring their courses once they started using LMS. One particular advantage for instructors, which has received considerable attention, is the ability of LMS to gather vast quantities of data. This ability has led to the rise of educational data mining (EDM), which is a subset of data mining (Ferguson, 2012). Data mining (DM) is the automatic extraction of patterns from large quantities of data (Klosgen & Zytkow, 2002). EDM is an interdisciplinary field that deals with the application of DM techniques to educational data (Romero & Ventura, 2010) where the data is visualized and analyzed in order to evaluate the web activity of students (Romero, Ventura, & García, 2008) and to get more objective feedback (Mor & Minguillón, 2004).

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