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What is Belief Bias

Chapter 8
Adapting Human Thinking and Moral Reasoning in Contemporary Society
Whether an argument is evaluated as valid depends only on whether the conclusion is believable (irrespective of the premise set).
Published in Chapter:
What Society Can and Cannot Learn From Coherence: Theoretical and Practical Considerations
Niki Pfeifer (University of Regensburg, Germany) and Andrea Capotorti (University of Perugia, Italy)
Copyright: © 2020 |Pages: 22
DOI: 10.4018/978-1-7998-1811-3.ch008
Abstract
Society is facing uncertainty on a multitude of domains and levels: usually, reasoning and decisions about political, economic, or health issues must be made under uncertainty. Among various approaches to probability, this chapter presents the coherence approach to probability as a method for uncertainty management. The authors explain the role of uncertainty in the context of important societal issues like legal reasoning and vaccination hesitancy. Finally, the chapter presents selected psychological factors which impact probabilistic representation and reasoning and discusses what society can and cannot learn from the coherence approach from theoretical and practical perspectives.
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