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What is Trend Model Delphi Study

Handbook of Research on Scholarly Publishing and Research Methods
This model asks participants to reflect on a specific trend and develop forecasts for the future based upon group-decided assumptions. The group assumptions are voted on by the expert panel and then reviewed in developing the forecasts ( Ziglio, 1996 ).
Published in Chapter:
Demystifying the Delphi Method
Kaye Shelton (Lamar University, USA) and Kathleen Adair Creghan (Humble Independent School District, Harris County, Texas, USA)
Copyright: © 2015 |Pages: 21
DOI: 10.4018/978-1-4666-7409-7.ch019
Abstract
The Delphi research method was specifically designed as a forecasting tool for the Rand Corporation in the 1950s. However, in the last several decades, Delphi research has been more frequently used for facilitating group communication for decision making and planning. Because of the Delphi Method's increased use, more information is needed for researchers to understand how to best utilize the method to precisely complete a Delphi study with rigor. This chapter explores the Delphi Method's origin, provides an explanation of the methodology, acknowledges the types and variations in Delphi studies, discusses the advantages and limitations, and provides clear, step-by-step guidelines for employing a successful research study.
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