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Forest Fire Probability Prediction Taking Into Account Anthropogenic Load, Lightning Activity, and Weather Conditions

Forest Fire Probability Prediction Taking Into Account Anthropogenic Load, Lightning Activity, and Weather Conditions

Copyright: © 2021 |Pages: 26
ISBN13: 9781799872504|ISBN10: 1799872505|ISBN13 Softcover: 9781799872511|EISBN13: 9781799872528
DOI: 10.4018/978-1-7998-7250-4.ch014
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MLA

. "Forest Fire Probability Prediction Taking Into Account Anthropogenic Load, Lightning Activity, and Weather Conditions." Forest Fire Danger Prediction Using Deterministic-Probabilistic Approach, edited by Nikolay Viktorovich Baranovskiy, IGI Global, 2021, pp. 227-252. https://doi.org/10.4018/978-1-7998-7250-4.ch014

APA

. (2021). Forest Fire Probability Prediction Taking Into Account Anthropogenic Load, Lightning Activity, and Weather Conditions. In N. Baranovskiy (Ed.), Forest Fire Danger Prediction Using Deterministic-Probabilistic Approach (pp. 227-252). IGI Global. https://doi.org/10.4018/978-1-7998-7250-4.ch014

Chicago

. "Forest Fire Probability Prediction Taking Into Account Anthropogenic Load, Lightning Activity, and Weather Conditions." In Forest Fire Danger Prediction Using Deterministic-Probabilistic Approach, edited by Nikolay Viktorovich Baranovskiy, 227-252. Hershey, PA: IGI Global, 2021. https://doi.org/10.4018/978-1-7998-7250-4.ch014

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Abstract

A new probabilistic criterion for forest fire danger and a new methodology for determining the probability of forest fires taking into account thunderstorm activity and the level of anthropogenic load in a controlled area are considered. The results of a parametric study of the dependence of probability on meteorological conditions, thunderstorm activity, and anthropogenic load are also presented. The fire situation corresponds to the statistics of fire accidents in the territory of the Timiryazevskiy forestry of Tomsk region.

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