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What is Currency Crisis

Handbook of Research on Financial and Banking Crisis Prediction through Early Warning Systems
A situation in which there is serious doubt as to whether a country's central bank has enough foreign exchange reserves to maintain the country’s fixed exchange rate. The crisis is often accompanied by a speculative attack in the foreign exchange market.
Published in Chapter:
Developing EWS Models for Contemporary Crises Using Extreme Value Binary Models: The Cases of Eurozone and Argentinian Peso (2014)
Dimitrios K. Dapontas (University of Peloponnese, Greece)
DOI: 10.4018/978-1-4666-9484-2.ch016
Abstract
This chapter is presenting the most contemporary crises following the 2008 credit crunch and small scale following crises. Our sample consists of five countries (Cyprus, Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Argentine respectively) hit by crisis during 2010's. The Early Warning System (EWS) proposed is the Extreme Value Model (EVA) used previously for natural disasters and irregular phenomena. Its major advantage compared to other binary models is its focus to the turbulence periods and their characteristics contrast to possible trend models which exclude them. The results show that EVA fits better forecast and it gave positive and calm signals than similar logit and probit models for all five cases examined.
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Early Warning System for Financial Crises
A currency crisis is a situation in which there is serious doubt as to whether a country's central bank has enough foreign exchange reserves to maintain the country's fixed exchange rate.
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Visualizing Indicators of Debt Crises in a Lower Dimension: A Self-Organizing Maps Approach
A currency crisis, or balance-of-payments crisis, occurs when a country with a fixed exchange rate is force to either devalue or float its exchange rate because of massive capital outflows, and is often caused by speculative attacks. The fixed exchange rate is supported by international foreign reserves, and collapses when the pressure on the currency cannot be eliminated by central bank intervention, i.e., the central bank buying domestic currency.
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Measuring the Impact of Financial Crisis: A Financial Stress Index for Turkey
There is no widely accepted definition of a currency crisis, which is normally considered as part of a financial crisis.
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KLR Approach as an Early Warning Indicator of Turkish Currency and Banking Crisis in 2000 and 2001
There is no widely accepted definition of a currency crisis, which is normally considered as part of a financial crisis. Kaminsky et al. (1998) AU77: The in-text citation "Kaminsky et al. (1998)" is not in the reference list. Please correct the citation, add the reference to the list, or delete the citation. , for instance, define currency crises as when a weighted average of monthly percentage depreciations in the exchange rate and monthly percentage declines in exchange reserves exceeds its mean by more than three standard deviations. Frankel and Rose (1996) AU78: The in-text citation "Frankel and Rose (1996)" is not in the reference list. Please correct the citation, add the reference to the list, or delete the citation. define a currency crisis as a nominal depreciation of a currency of at least 25% but it is also defined at least 10% increase in the rate of depreciation. In general, a currency crisis can be defined as a situation when the participants in an exchange market come to recognize that a pegged exchange rate is about to fail, causing speculation against the peg that hastens the failure and forces a devaluation or appreciation.
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