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Predictive Analysis of Supply Chain Decisions for Emergency Resource Supply in the COVID-19 Pandemic

Predictive Analysis of Supply Chain Decisions for Emergency Resource Supply in the COVID-19 Pandemic

Sankalpa Chowdhury (University Institute of Technology, Burdwan University, India), Swarnavo Mondal (University Institute of Technology, Burdwan University, India), Kumari Honey (University Institute of Technology, Burdwan University, India), and Shibakali Gupta (University Institute of Technology, Burdwan University, India)
Copyright: © 2022 | Pages: 23
DOI: 10.4018/IJAL.302094

Abstract

The demands of different regions can be predicted and supplies may be dispatched by the central agencies based on certain predictions. Region-wise growth factors of Covid-19, diabetic patients, cardiovascular patients and other important factors are taken to generate a priority metric based on the correlation matrix, which is calculated from the different covariance matrix against different influencing factors including growth factor and doubling period. All the factors are normalized on a scale of 1 to 10 to adjust different quantities from all the factors. A dynamic priority queue is used to store the priority scores of each region, which is calculated from all the correlation values of correlated factors with respect to growth factor. Priority for each region is calculated and stored in the priority queue and sorted it in decreasing order, based on which, the supply of food and emergency supplies are dispatched according to the priority of different regions.
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Ii. Data Used In This Paper

Initially we used some of the data, and with this data we calculated other datasets.

The initial dataset is-

Table 1.
Showing different initial data
State No of beds Density (/km2) Population Area(km2) No of Active Cases
Chandigarh 3756 555 1055450 114 15
Maharashtra 68998 350 112374333 307713 240
Tamil Nadu 72616 2598 72147030 130058 280
Madhya Pradesh 38140 123 72626809 308245 60
Gujarat 41129 312 60439692 196024 75

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