Analysis of Possible Future Global Scenarios in the Field of Cyber Warfare: National Cyber Defense and Cyber Attack Capabilities

Analysis of Possible Future Global Scenarios in the Field of Cyber Warfare: National Cyber Defense and Cyber Attack Capabilities

Flavia Zappa Leccisotti (Security Brokers SCpA, Italy), Raoul Chiesa (Security Brokers SCpA, Italy) and Daniele De Nicolo (Security Brokers SCpA, Italy)
DOI: 10.4018/978-1-5225-5634-3.ch077

Abstract

At a global level, various risks have increased due to the intensification of globalization, and in this scenario Cybercrime is becoming a more important and dangerous threat. When discussing about Cyber Space threats, it is not an issue if critical national infrastructures, private companies and private citizens will be violated, but rather when it will take place, when it is realized that this has happened, and which is the extent of the attack. Through the collection and analysis of open source documents, institutional organizations, think tanks, academic and experts' papers, the goal of this chapter is to highlight and understand what and how it is changing, if new scenarios will take place on the international cyber chessboard, and which dynamics will regulate the new threats that we must prepare to fight or, at least, mitigate.
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Background

Nearly after two years from the beginning of the study about Cyber Warfare, Cyber Defense and Cyber Attack doctrines and strategies of National States by Flavia Zappa, is aimed to produce a different study, aiming to analyze the evolution of those doctrines and strategies, and assuming future scenarios.

The motivation beyond the rise on the analysis spectrum is somehow very simple: “Nation-State driven” Cyber Attacks can be nowadays regularly found on a global scale, no matter if they are officially endorsed, sponsored or “tolerated” by a National State. Someone spoken about a new Cold War, which has become an “Information War”, refreshing the famous motto “Information is the power” and adapting it to those evolutions and technologies of the 21st Century.

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