Interpretation of the Value Relevance Indicator With(out) Dummies: Demeaning

Interpretation of the Value Relevance Indicator With(out) Dummies: Demeaning

Melik Ertuğrul (Istinye University, Turkey)
DOI: 10.4018/978-1-5225-9265-5.ch010

Abstract

In the value relevance (VR) literature, the R2 figure of a regression is considered the VR indicator. Furthermore, a financial reporting item is considered value relevant if its regression coefficient is statistically significant. The variation across the variables of interest is named unobservable heterogeneity (UH) which leads to biased estimators and generates incorrect inferences. The common approach of eliminating UH is adding dummies into a regression. However, this method adds the explanatory power of dummies to that of accounting items, and it eventually results in inflated R2 figures. Hence, R2 figures become misleading with dummies since R2 figures do not purely explain the VR of accounting items. This chapter suggests demeaning as an alternative methodology to deal with UH. Although demeaning and adding dummies are the same methodology of mitigating UH, this chapter documents that adding dummies inflates R2 figures while demeaning does not.
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Introduction

The value relevance (VR, henceforth) concept has attracted the attention of academia since the second half of the 1960s. According to Barth et al. (2001) and Mulenga (2016), the VR literature begins with Miller and Modigliani (1966). Other pioneering studies of the VR literature are Ball and Brown (1968) and Beaver (1968) (Demir et al., 2016). Although this concept is a very popular subject in academia, the first study using the term “value relevance” is Amir et al. (1993) (Barth, Beaver, & Landsman, 2001). From the beginning, there are many definitions and interpretations of the VR. For instance, Barth et al. (2001) underline that accounting (or financial reporting) information is value relevant if it is reliable enough to be used for valuation purposes and it affects share prices.1,2 Additionally, Francis and Shipper (1999) provides certain useful VR interpretations and they commonly consider the VR by taking the statistical relationship between accounting information and share prices or returns into account. The common ground of the rich research on VR is to analyse the effect of accounting information on capital markets.

Holthausen and Watts (2001) divide the existing VR literature into three main categories: relative association studies (RAS, henceforth), incremental association studies (INAS, henceforth), and marginal information content studies (MICS, henceforth). According to their classification, almost one-fourth (85%) of studies belongs to the RAS (INAS) group while only 11% of studies belongs to the last group. As it can be understood from these figures, there are certain studies grouped at different intersections of combinations of these three major classes. RAS compare R2 figures belonging to different regressions and such studies consider the greater R2 figure more value relevant. INAS consider an accounting item value relevant if its regression coefficient is statistically significant. MICS analyse price reactions towards the release of an accounting figure conditional on other information released, and the release is considered value relevant if it is significantly related to price reactions. All in all, the literature is extensively dominated by association (RAS and INAS) studies.

Empirical finance studies are challenged by the effect of unobservable factors on regression coefficients (Gormley & Matsa, 2014) which is named unobservable heterogeneity (UH, henceforth) (Bartolucci, Belotti, & Peracchi, 2015). Omitted variable bias may influence the estimated parameters if UH is not properly controlled. In other words, UH may lead to biased and inefficient regression coefficients which eventually yield in incorrect inferences (Mannering, Shankar, & Bhat, 2016). Obtaining unbiased regression coefficients is a sine quo non condition of making a statistically correct interpretation and comparison of the VR of accounting items. Hence, UH should be the main concern of INAS as they focus directly on regression coefficients.

One of the common approaches of controlling for UH is employing the fixed effects methodology (FEM, henceforth) which enables obtaining “approximately unbiased estimates of the parameters of interest” (Allison, 2006, p. 2).3 The FEM simply adds dummy variables for each individual to control for UH at the individual level.4 In other words, this methodology controls the impact of time-invariant correlated omitted variables (or firm level endogeneity) on regression coefficients. In addition to firm level endogeneity, certain events such as economic instabilities and market trends affect regression outcomes. Therefore, individual-invariant correlated omitted variables (or time level endogeneity) which are another source of UH should be taken into account. Adding dummy variables for each time controls for UH at the time level.5 As underlined by Ertugrul and Demir (2018), controlling for UH at the time level is complementary to controlling for UH at the individual level.

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