Understanding Risk and Risk-Taking Behavior in Virtual Worlds

Understanding Risk and Risk-Taking Behavior in Virtual Worlds

Fariborz Farahmand, Eugene H. Spafford
DOI: 10.4018/978-1-61520-891-3.ch004
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Virtual worlds have seen tremendous growth in recent years. However, security and privacy risks are major considerations in different forms of commerce and exchange in virtual worlds. The studies of behavioral economics and lessons from markets provide fertile ground in the employment of virtual worlds to demonstrate study and examine behaviors. In this chapter, we address user and organizational concerns about security and privacy risks by exploring the relationships among risk, perception of risk, and economic behavior in virtual worlds. To make their interaction more effective, we recommend organizations to understand perceptions of risk in virtual worlds and then implement policies and procedures to enhance trust and reduce risk. Such understanding depends in turn on the multidisciplinary nature of cyber security economics and online behavior
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Defining Risk

For us to understand the human behavior in virtual worlds, an explicit and accepted definition of risk is essential; however, the definition of risk is inherently controversial. When planning some course of action, people tend to evaluate issues of cost and benefit against the possibility of losses and adverse consequences. Those potential losses and adverse consequences are known as risk. Knight (1921) made his famous distinction between risk and uncertainty by explaining that risk is ordinarily used in a loose way to refer to any sort of uncertainty viewed from the standpoint of an unfavorable contingency, and uncertainty similarly with reference to favorable outcomes. Understanding and measuring risk enables people to choose prudent courses of action and make appropriate investments in protection and mitigation.

In classical decision theory, risk is most commonly conceived as reflecting variation in the distribution of possible outcomes, their likelihoods, and their subjective values (March and Shapira, 1987). Risk is measured either by nonlinearities in the revealed utility for money or by the variance of the probability distribution of possible gains and losses associated with a particular alternative (Pratt 1964, Arrow 1965) --i.e., distorted valuation or irregular risk perception by individuals. Fischhoff et al. (1984) argues that values regarding the relative importance of different possible adverse consequences for a particular decision can change with the changes in the decision maker, the technologies considered, or the decision problem. Fischoff and his co-authors developed a framework showing how these value issues can be systemically addressed while considering the sources of controversy in defining risk.

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