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What is Granger Causality

Handbook of Research on Global Enterprise Operations and Opportunities
Granger causality is a statistical concept of causality that is based on prediction. According to Granger causality, if a signal X 1 “Granger-causes” (or “G-causes”) a signal X 2 , then past values of X 1 should contain information that helps predict X 2 above and beyond the information contained in past values of X 2 alone. Its mathematical formulation is based on linear regression modeling of stochastic processes.
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Re-Examining the Impact of Financial System on Economic Growth: New Evidence From Heterogeneous Regional Panels

Bülent Altay (Afyon Kocatepe University, Turkey) and Mert Topcu (Nevşehir Hacı Bektaş Veli University, Turkey)
Copyright: © 2017 | Pages: 16
DOI: 10.4018/978-1-5225-2245-4.ch001

Abstract

Recent developments in panel data econometrics allow researchers to estimate heterogeneous parameters. Given this novelty, the goal of this paper is to revisit the financial development-economic growth nexus for a panel of 76 developing counties using recent heterogeneous panel time series estimation methods. Findings indicate that results are very volatile across different empirical specifications. Overall, results provide a strong support of a negative impact that banking development on growth. At regional level, however, there is relatively little evidence of such relationship. On the side of the stock market, there is no much indication in favor of stock market-led growth hypothesis either at pooled panel or at regional level.
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