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What is Conditional Volatility

COVID-19's Impact on the Cryptocurrency Market and the Digital Economy
The conditional volatility can be defined as a measure of risk or a statistical measure of the change in the values of a financial asset over time. In other words, it is an estimated standard deviation of financial time series under the specified probability distribution.
Published in Chapter:
The Impact of COVID-19 on Volatility Spillover Between Bitcoin and Turkish Financial Markets
Yakup Ari (Alanya Alaaddin Keykubat University, Turkey), Esin Yelgen (Alanya Alaaddin Keykubat University, Turkey), and Harun Uçak (Alanya Alaaddin Keykubat University, Turkey)
DOI: 10.4018/978-1-7998-9117-8.ch009
Abstract
The aim of this study is to examine the volatility spillover between bitcoin and Turkish financial markets for the pre-COVID-19 and COVID-19 periods. Using GARCH-based volatility spillover indices, the authors find that BTC-USD was a volatility transmitter in the pre-COVID-19 period but has become the main volatility receiver in the COVID-19 period, and its net volatility transmission fell from 0.7% to -10.84%. Moreover, they concluded that the total spillover index increased from 12.49% to 15.25% indicates a low connectedness between the markets in both periods and the error variance in markets is on average 15.25% originated from other markets in the COVID-19 period.
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