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What is Weak Form Efficient

Handbook of Research on Behavioral Finance and Investment Strategies: Decision Making in the Financial Industry
Market could be characterized as a stock market that enables the its participants to make systematically profitable decisions using only historical data. In this way investors are able to take advantage of the market inefficiency.
Published in Chapter:
Is Technical Analysis Profitable even for an Amateur Investor?: Evidence from the Greek Stock Market (2002-12)
Vasileiou Evangelos (University of the Aegean, Greece)
DOI: 10.4018/978-1-4666-7484-4.ch015
Abstract
The purpose of this chapter is to examine if even the simplest trading rules could take advantage of the market's inefficiency and lead to profitable trading decisions. For this reason, this study examined the profitability of the simplest trading rules, using only the simple moving averages (SMA) rules that even an amateur investor could apply. In order to examine the specific issue a data sample from the Greek stock market during the period 2002-12 was used. The results suggest that even if one takes into account the most expensive transaction fees, the trading rules signal profitable investment decisions; therefore, even an amateur trader and/or investor who does not have a significant amount of money to invest (which may lead to reduced transaction costs) could take advantage of the market's inefficiency. Behavioral finance theories may provide some useful and alternative explanations regarding some of the reasons that contribute to the Greek stock market's inefficient environment.
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